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FZUS61 KCLE 152251
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
651 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
A stalled frontal boundary resides in the vicinity of Lake Erie
through Thursday. A cold front will sweep southeastward across
the lake Thursday night. Behind the front, a separate ridge
averaging 30.00 inches builds from the northern Great Lakes
through Friday. During Friday night through Saturday morning, the
ridge should exit eastward and allow a warm front to sweep
northward across Lake Erie. A cold front should then sweep
eastward across Lake Erie Saturday evening through Saturday night.
Behind the cold front, a trough averaging 29.90 inches should
linger over Lake Erie through Sunday before a ridge averaging
30.30 inches builds from the west by Monday.
LEZ162>164-160215-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
651 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026
TONIGHT
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers and
thunderstorms likely after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
THURSDAY
South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then showers
likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms late in the morning.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Waves 1 to 2 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 feet
or less.
FRIDAY
North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves
1 foot or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A
chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
SATURDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers
with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of
showers Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Waves
3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
MONDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Waves
2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ165>169-160215-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
651 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 120 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
TONIGHT
Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging
winds and large hail early. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
THURSDAY
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms early, then showers likely with a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming
northwest. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the
evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
FRIDAY
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Waves
1 foot or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast
10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
SATURDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers
with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of
showers Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to
6 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of rain showers during the day. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to
3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
MONDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Waves
3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-160215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
651 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026
TONIGHT
Southwest winds around 10 knots. Showers and
thunderstorms this evening, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
THURSDAY
Southwest winds around 10 knots. Showers likely with
a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY
West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Waves
around 1 foot.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5 to
10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
SATURDAY
South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of
showers during the day, then showers likely Saturday night. Waves
2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of rain and snow showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
MONDAY
Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-160215-
MAFOR 1600 AMD/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11500 11400
14516 11516. A chance of thunderstorms tonight. Waves 1 to 2
feet.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...12500
11516 11510 13516. A chance of thunderstorms tonight and Thursday
morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11509 11500
11506 12500 12506. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
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