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FZUS61 KCLE 171956
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
356 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure 29.60 inches will move into the northern Great Lakes
tonight and will reach New England by Saturday evening while
deepening to 29.50 inches. This will lift a warm front across Lake
Erie tonight before a strong cold front drops across the lake
Saturday night. High pressure 30.00 inches will build across the
Great Lakes Sunday and Monday before another cold front crosses
Tuesday. A trough averaging 29.80 inches will linger over Lake Erie
Wednesday.
LEZ162-163-180215-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
TONIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Smoke this evening, then patchy smoke after midnight. A slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms early, then a chance of
showers and thunderstorms late this evening. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. A
slight chance of showers early. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then showers and
thunderstorms likely late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming
northeast. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to
3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south.
Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms Monday
night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day,
then a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ164-165-180215-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
TONIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. Smoke through the early overnight. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms late this evening. A chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. A
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves
2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming
northeast. Showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves
1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms Monday
night. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3 to 5 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-166>169-180215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
356 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
TONIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. Smoke early, then areas of smoke late this evening.
Smoke after midnight. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms after midnight. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Smoke
early. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms
in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms early
in the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 3 to
6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Waves 3 to 6 feet.
SUNDAY
North winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding
to 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT
West winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves
1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms Monday night. Waves
1 foot or less building to 3 to 6 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 4 to
7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around
9 feet.
WEDNESDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-180215-
MAFOR 1721/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3: 11200 11300 12510 13520 11620. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms this evening. A chance of showers overnight. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon. Waves 1
to 3 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet Saturday.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3: 11200 11300 11410 11510 12520 12530. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight. A chance of showers Saturday
morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday
afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet tonight. Waves 3 to 6 feet building
to 4 to 7 feet, and occasionally around 9 feet Saturday.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3: 11500 12400 11410 11510 11520 11530 11539. Waves 2
feet or less tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet,
and occasionally around 9 feet Saturday.
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