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FZUS61 KCLE 161945
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
345 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
A weak trough averaging 29.90 inches resides over Lake Erie for
the time being before a cold front moves southeastward across the
lake this evening through tonight. Behind the front, a high
pressure ridge averaging 30.00 inches builds from the northern
Great Lakes through Friday. During Friday night through
Saturday morning, the ridge will exit eastward and allow a warm
front to sweep northward across Lake Erie. A cold front should
then sweep eastward across Lake Erie late Saturday afternoon
through Saturday night. Behind the cold front, a trough averaging
29.90 inches should linger over the lake through Sunday before a
ridge averaging 30.30 inches builds from the west by Monday. On
Tuesday, the ridge should exit eastward and allow a warm front to
sweep northward across Lake Erie.
LEZ162>164-170215-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
345 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026
TONIGHT
West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers late
this evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
FRIDAY
Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves
1 foot or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers
with a chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers in
the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely in
the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to
4 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Waves
1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
MONDAY
Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-165>169-170215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
345 PM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026
TONIGHT
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, then a
slight chance of showers after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY
Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast.
Waves 1 foot or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A
chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest.
Showers in the morning, then showers with a chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to
3 to 5 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west.
Rain showers in the evening, then a chance of rain showers
overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of rain showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
MONDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Waves
3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-170215-
MAFOR 1621/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3: 11610 11600 11700 11800 11100 13200. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet
subsiding to 1 foot or less tonight. Waves 1 foot or less Friday.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3: 11500 12600 12700 12800 11100. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms early this evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet tonight. Waves 1 foot or less Friday.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3: 12500 15600. A chance of thunderstorms early this
evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet tonight.
Waves 1 foot or less Friday.
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