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FZUS61 KCLE 161953
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
353 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
High pressure 30.10 inches exits the region Friday morning as a
warm front approaches from the west. The warm front will lift
east across Lake Erie Friday night into Saturday. A cold front
will sink south across the lake on Saturday night. High pressure
30.00 inches briefly returns Sunday into Monday before another
cold front moves across the region on Tuesday.
LEZ162-163-170230-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
353 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...
TONIGHT
East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Areas of
smoke early, then smoke from late evening on. Waves 1 foot or
less.
FRIDAY
Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Smoke.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 foot
or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
Smoke in the evening. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to
3 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 1 to
3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms Monday
night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ164>166-170230-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
353 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...
TONIGHT
North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Smoke.
Waves 1 foot or less.
FRIDAY
Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming east.
Smoke. Waves 1 foot or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. Smoke in the evening. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers with a chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to
3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY
North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast less than
10 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday night.
Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
TUESDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-167>169-170230-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
353 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026
...DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...
TONIGHT
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast.
Smoke. Waves 2 feet or less.
FRIDAY
Southeast winds less than 10 knots. Smoke. Waves 1 foot
or less.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming
southwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots overnight. Smoke in
the evening. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance
of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
SATURDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to
4 feet.
SUNDAY
North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast less than
10 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less
building to 2 to 4 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest.
Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday
night. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-170230-
MAFOR 1621/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3: 14200 11300 12400 11200. Waves 1 foot or less.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3: 11700 11800 12100 11200 11400 11500 11100. Waves
1 foot or less.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3: 11600 11700 12800 11200 11500 12600. Waves 2 feet
or less.
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