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FZUS61 KCLE 182152
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure 29.70 inches enters the region as a cold front moves
southeast across Lake Erie into tonight. As the cold front
exits, high pressure 30.00 inches will briefly enter the region
Sunday and Monday. A warm front will lift into the region
Monday and will be quickly followed by another cold front on
Tuesday. A trough averaging 29.80 inches will linger across the
eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday.
LEZ162-190215-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
TONIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke early,
then areas of smoke late this evening. Patchy smoke after
midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast
10 knots or less. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 2 feet
or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Patchy
smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves
1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT
South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest
15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to
15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Waves 1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ163-190215-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
TONIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves
1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east less than
10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 1 to 3 feet
subsiding to 1 foot or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT
South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest
15 to 20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest.
Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY
North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves
1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ164-165-190215-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
TONIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late this evening. Patchy smoke from
late evening on. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than
10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT
North winds less than 10 knots becoming
southeast. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT
South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
2 to 4 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY
North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves
2 feet or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ166>169-190215-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
TONIGHT
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke from
late evening on. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
SUNDAY
Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Patchy smoke. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy smoke in
the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT
South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less
building to 3 to 5 feet.
TUESDAY
Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 7 feet
subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
WEDNESDAY
Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
Waves 2 feet or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
####################
LEZ061-190215-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
TONIGHT
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and variable.
Patchy smoke. Waves 2 feet or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT
West winds less than 10 knots becoming south.
Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY
South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves 1 foot
or less.
MONDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south
10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
TUESDAY
South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to
15 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to
4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
WEDNESDAY
West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-190215-
MAFOR 1821/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11720 13820
12110 12100. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance of
showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 3 to 5 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1
to 3 feet Sunday.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11726
11720 12820 11110 11810 12800. A chance of thunderstorms this
evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding
to 1 to 3 feet Sunday.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11620 11710
13810 12800 11700. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance
of showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet tonight. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to
1 foot or less Sunday.
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