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FZUS61 KCLE 182152
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
Low pressure 29.70 inches enters the region as a cold front moves southeast across Lake Erie into tonight. As the cold front exits, high pressure 30.00 inches will briefly enter the region Sunday and Monday. A warm front will lift into the region Monday and will be quickly followed by another cold front on Tuesday. A trough averaging 29.80 inches will linger across the eastern Great Lakes on Wednesday.
LEZ162-190215- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
TONIGHT Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke early, then areas of smoke late this evening. Patchy smoke after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast 10 knots or less. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 2 feet or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
WEDNESDAY Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ163-190215- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
TONIGHT Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
SUNDAY Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east less than 10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
TUESDAY Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
WEDNESDAY Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 1 foot or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ164-165-190215- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
TONIGHT Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late this evening. Patchy smoke from late evening on. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
SUNDAY Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Patchy smoke from late morning on. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT North winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
TUESDAY Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
WEDNESDAY Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ166>169-190215- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on- the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
TONIGHT Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke from late evening on. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
SUNDAY Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Patchy smoke. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY NIGHT Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less building to 3 to 5 feet.
TUESDAY Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
WEDNESDAY Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-190215- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 552 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
TONIGHT West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy smoke. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and variable. Patchy smoke. Waves 2 feet or less.
SUNDAY NIGHT West winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Patchy smoke in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Waves 1 foot or less.
MONDAY NIGHT Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
TUESDAY South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
WEDNESDAY West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
THURSDAY Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-190215- MAFOR 1821/ LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11720 13820 12110 12100. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet Sunday.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11726 11720 12820 11110 11810 12800. A chance of thunderstorms this evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet tonight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet Sunday.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3:...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT...11620 11710 13810 12800 11700. A chance of thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet tonight. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less Sunday.
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