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FZUS61 KCLE 180129
Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
929 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026
For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie
Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
SYNOPSIS
Deepening low pressure of 29.20 inches moves through the Lower
Great Lakes region tonight into Thursday. The low will drag a
strong cold front east across Lake Erie tonight. A surface trough
averaging 29.60 inches lingers across the lake through Saturday
with high pressure 30.00 inches building overhead on Sunday.
LEZ162>164-180815-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EDT THURSDAY...
.REST OF TONIGHT...South winds to 30 knots becoming southwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms late this evening, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. A slight
chance of showers late. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally
around 10 feet.
THURSDAY
West winds to 30 knots. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY
West winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Waves
2 feet or less.
SUNDAY
North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east and increasing
to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then
showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves
2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
MONDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ165>168-180815-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
.REST OF TONIGHT...South gales to 35 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 30 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms,
then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms
late. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 7 to 11 feet. Waves
occasionally around 14 feet.
THURSDAY
West gales to 35 knots. A chance of showers early,
then a slight chance of showers from late morning on. Waves 8 to
12 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 25 knots. Waves 6 to 9 feet
subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
FRIDAY
West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Waves 2 to 3 feet.
SATURDAY
West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Waves
1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to
4 feet.
MONDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ061-169-180815-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
929 PM EDT Wed Jun 17 2026
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
.REST OF TONIGHT...Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south
and increasing to 30 knots. Showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms late this evening, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms after midnight. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 6 to 9 feet.
Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
THURSDAY
Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Showers
likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Waves 8 to 12 feet building to 10 to 13 feet. Waves
occasionally around 16 feet.
THURSDAY NIGHT
West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 7 to 10 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
FRIDAY
West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
FRIDAY NIGHT
West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Waves 2 to 4 feet.
SATURDAY
West winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to less than
10 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
SUNDAY
West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to
15 knots. Showers likely Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
MONDAY
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to
15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.
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LEZ161-180815-
MAFOR 1803/
LAKE ERIE WESTERN 1/3:...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11446 12540 12650 11640
11630 11620. A chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 4 to 7
feet building to 6 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 11 feet
overnight. Waves 6 to 10 feet, and occasionally around 13 feet
Thursday. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet, and
occasionally around 9 feet Thursday evening.
LAKE ERIE CENTRAL 1/3:...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11446 11550 11540
12650 12640 11620. A chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 3
to 6 feet building to 7 to 11 feet, and occasionally around 14
feet overnight. Waves 8 to 12 feet, and occasionally around 15
feet Thursday. Waves 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet, and
occasionally around 11 feet Thursday evening.
LAKE ERIE EASTERN 1/3:...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11336 11440 11546 12540
12640 11620. A chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3
feet building to 6 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 11 feet
overnight. Waves 8 to 12 feet building to 10 to 13 feet, and
occasionally around 16 feet Thursday. Waves 7 to 10 feet
subsiding to 5 to 7 feet, and occasionally around 13 feet
Thursday evening.
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